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STORY · POPULATION

Population, in motion.

Five chapters on the steepest demographic curve in human history. Each chapter is anchored to a single number — and a single question we're still answering.
CHAPTER 01

8.15 billion humans, right now.

It took 200,000 years for human population to reach one billion. The next billion took 130 years. The latest took just 12 years. We are living through the steepest demographic curve in our species' history.

8,152,847,302
World population · live UN/UNDESA medium-variant estimate
CHAPTER 02

2,500,000,000 added in just one lifetime.

A person born in 1970 has watched the world add more humans than existed at the start of the Industrial Revolution. The acceleration is slowing — but the absolute numbers are unprecedented.

2.5 B
Net additions, 1970–present
CHAPTER 03

But the curve is bending.

Global fertility has fallen from 5.0 to 2.2 children per woman since 1960. By the 2080s, the human population is projected to peak — possibly for the first time since the Black Death.

2.2
Global total fertility rate · 1960 was 5.0
CHAPTER 04

Africa adds the next billion.

Nearly all population growth from now to 2100 will come from sub-Saharan Africa. Nigeria alone will pass the United States in population before 2050.

+1.1 B
Sub-Saharan Africa, 2024 → 2050
CHAPTER 05

Meanwhile, half the world is aging.

Japan, Italy, South Korea, and a growing number of countries have already crossed peak working-age population. By 2050, a quarter of all Europeans will be over 65.

25.4%
Share of EU population aged 65+, 2050 projection
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